Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000697 0.000792 0.000893 0.001006 0.001132 0.001265 0.001417
2025-09-14 0.000546 0.000677 0.000825 0.001004 0.001212 0.001446 0.001728
2025-09-21 0.000459 0.000605 0.000777 0.000993 0.001255 0.001560 0.001938
2025-09-28 0.000390 0.000542 0.000730 0.000975 0.001282 0.001650 0.002118
2025-10-05 0.000354 0.000517 0.000723 0.001001 0.001358 0.001796 0.002366
2025-10-12 0.000322 0.000491 0.000713 0.001020 0.001423 0.001928 0.002598
2025-10-19 0.000286 0.000455 0.000685 0.001011 0.001450 0.002010 0.002768
2025-10-26 0.000253 0.000421 0.000656 0.000998 0.001468 0.002081 0.002923
2025-11-02 0.000232 0.000402 0.000646 0.001008 0.001517 0.002190 0.003129
2025-11-09 0.000211 0.000380 0.000629 0.001008 0.001550 0.002279 0.003310
2025-11-16 0.000185 0.000347 0.000594 0.000978 0.001539 0.002307 0.003407
2025-11-23 0.000162 0.000318 0.000562 0.000951 0.001530 0.002335 0.003504
2025-11-30 0.000147 0.000300 0.000546 0.000948 0.001556 0.002413 0.003673
2025-12-07 0.000134 0.000284 0.000533 0.000947 0.001586 0.002497 0.003852
2025-12-14 0.000120 0.000266 0.000515 0.000937 0.001599 0.002556 0.003997
2025-12-21 0.000107 0.000248 0.000493 0.000920 0.001600 0.002599 0.004118
2025-12-28 0.000102 0.000244 0.000497 0.000944 0.001666 0.002736 0.004377
2026-01-04 0.000097 0.000238 0.000498 0.000962 0.001722 0.002859 0.004618
2026-01-11 0.000087 0.000225 0.000483 0.000953 0.001735 0.002919 0.004768
2026-01-18 0.000079 0.000211 0.000466 0.000941 0.001742 0.002968 0.004903
2026-01-25 0.000074 0.000205 0.000463 0.000950 0.001784 0.003072 0.005120
2026-02-01 0.000068 0.000196 0.000454 0.000951 0.001810 0.003152 0.005302
2026-02-08 0.000059 0.000180 0.000430 0.000922 0.001787 0.003154 0.005367